Byron Spencer

Professor Ph.D. Rice University 1967 Department of Economics Kenneth Taylor Hall, Rm 428 McMaster University 1280 Main Street West Hamilton, Ontario Canada L8S 4M4 905-525-9140 ext. 24594 905-521-8232 (fax) spencer@mcmaster.ca

Research Interests: Population Economics, Health Economics, Econometrics

Recent Research Papers

F.T. Denton and B.G. Spencer, "Chronic Health Conditions: Changing Prevalence in an Aging Population and Some Implications for the Delivery of Health Care Services," Canadian Journal on Aging, forthcoming.

F.T. Denton and B.G. Spencer, "Population Aging, Older Workers and Canada's Labour Force", Canadian Public Policy, forthcoming.

F.T. Denton, C. Feaver and B.G. Spencer,An Economic Future with Smaller Numbers: The Population and Labour Force Outlook for the Atlantic Region. Atlantic Institute for Market Studies, November 2009, pp. 1-58.

F.T. Denton, A. Gafni, and B.G. Spencer,"Users and Suppliers of Physicians Services: A Tale of Two Populations," International Journal of Health Services, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 189-218, 2009.

F.T. Denton and B.G. Spencer, "What is Retirement? A Review and Assessment of Alternative Concepts and Measures," Canadian Journal on Aging, Vol. 28, No 1, pp. 63-76, 2009.

"Private Pensions and Income Security in Old Age: An Uncertain Future," Canadian Public Policy. Co-editor with Thomas Crossley of a special issue of the journal sponsored by SEDAP. November 2008.

"Private Pensions and Income Security in Old Age: An Uncertain Future -- Introduction," in Canadian Public Policy. With Thomas Crossley. November 2008, pp Siii - Svi.

F.T. Denton, A. Gafni, and B.G. Spencer,  "Users and Suppliers of Physicians Services:  A Tale of Two Populations," International Journal of Health Sciences, forthcoming.

N. Buckley, F.T. Denton, A. L. Robb and B.G. Spencer, "Socioeconomic Influence on the Health of Older Canadians: Estimates Based on Two Longitudinal Surveys," Canadian Public Policy, forthcoming.

F.T. Denton, D.C. Mountain and B.G. Spencer, "Age, Retirement and Expenditure Patterns: An Econometric Study of Older Canadian Households," Atlantic Economic Journal, Vol. 34, No. 4, December 2006.

F.T. Denton, C.H. Feaver and B.G. Spencer, "Time Series Analysis and Stochastic Forecasting: An Econometric Study of Mortality and Life Expectancy," Journal of Population Economics, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 203-227, 2005.

N. Buckley, F.T. Denton, A. L. Robb and B.G. Spencer, "Healthy Aging at Older Ages: Are Income and Education Important? "  Canadian Journal on Aging, Vol. 23, pp. Supplement 1, pp. S155-S169, 2004.

N. Buckley, F.T. Denton, A. L. Robb and B.G. Spencer, "The Transition from Good to Poor Health: an Econometric Study of the Older Population," Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 23, 1013-1034, 2004.

F.T. Denton, Amiram Gafni, and B.G. Spencer.  "Requirements for Physicians in 2030:  Why Population Aging Matters Less than You May Think,"  Canadian Medical Association Journal, Vol. 168, No. 12, pp. 1545-1547, 2003.

F.T. Denton, D.C. Mountain and B.G. Spencer, "Energy Demand with Declining Rate Schedules: An Econometric Model for the U.S.Commercial Sector." Land Economics, Vol. 79, No. 1, pp. 86-105, 2003.

F.T. Denton, C.H. Feaver and B.G. Spencer, "Alternative Pasts, Possible Futures: A `What If' study of the Effects of Fertility on the Canadian Population and Labour Force," Canadian Public Policy, Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 443-459, 2002.

F.T. Denton and B.G. Spencer, "Some Demographic Consequences of Revising the Definition of 'Old Age' to Reflect Future Changes in Life Table Probabilities," Canadian Journal on Aging, Vol. 79, No. 1, pp. 86-105, 2003.

B.G. Spencer, "The Double Cohort and the Shortage of Faculty: How Big Are the Problems?" Toronto: CD Howe, 2002.

F.T. Denton, A. Gafni and B.G. Spencer, "Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: the Case of Ontario," Canadian Public Policy, Vol. 27, No. 4, pp. 469-485, 2001.

Working Papers

F.T. Denton, R. Finnie, and B.G. Spencer, "Income Replacement in Retirement: Longitudinal Evidence from Income Tax Records". QSEP Researh Report Number 436 (2009).

F.T. Denton, R. Finnie, and B.G. Spencer, "Patterns of Retirement as Reflected in Income Tax Records for Older Workers". QSEP Researh Report Number 434 (2009).

F.T. Denton, C.H. Feaver, and B.G. Spencer, "Cohort Working Life Tables for Older Canadians". QSEP Researh Report Number 432 (2009).

F.T. Denton, C.H. Feaver, and B.G. Spencer, "An Application of Price and Quantity Indexes in the Analysis of Changes in Expenditures on Physician Services". QSEP Researh Report Number 426 (2008).